New Zealand’s housing market has a 40 per cent chance of going bust in the next two years, according to global investment bank Goldman Sachs.
In a research note published this week Goldman says the New Zealand’s housing market is the most over-valued amongst the G-10 group of developed economies, Bloomberg reports.
Goldman, Bloomberg said, defines bust as house prices falling five percent or more after adjustment for inflation.
Bloomberg reports that Goldman looked at housing markets in the G-10 countries -those with the 10 most-traded currencies in the world – and finds they are most elevated in small, open economies such as New Zealand, where house prices have rocketed in recent years.
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=11857022